What if, you dropped the plan on buying ‘Royal Enfield” in 2001?

What if, you dropped the plan on buying ‘Royal Enfield” in 2001? See the below calculation, you will be surprised to see what your multibagger pick makes you, if you spot them at right time and hold it tight!!

On September 2001 :

Share Price of Eicher Motors on September 2001 = Rs. 17.50

Price of Royal Enfield bike in 2001 was Rs.55000/- . You would have bought 3143 shares of Eicher Motors : (Rs. 55000/ Rs 17.50 (share Price) = 3143 Shares)

On 19-Jun-2015:

Eicher Motor’s Share Price as on 19th Jun 2015 is ~Rs. 19,400 (Just for 1 share)
Total value as on 19th Jun 2015 = 3143 x 19,400=  ~6 Crores

Siddhartha Lal  The Bulletproof man

The twin credit for building a rugged bike as well as enormous value for shareholders goes to Siddhartha Lal, MD and CEO, Eicher Motors. In some ways, it all came to one big decision Lal took based on his love for Enfield. It was 2004. Lal was 30 and had just taken over as COO of Eicher group. The group had a diverse spread of about 15 businesses including tractors, trucks, motorcycles, components, footwear and garments, but none was a market leader.

Lal undertook an intense portfolio analysis and took a hard call. He decided to divest 13 businesses and put all money and focus behind Royal Enfield and trucks, two businesses where he believed the group had a genuine shot at leadership. "In my mind the basic question was this: do we want to be a mediocre player in 15 small businesses or just be good in one or two businesses," recalls Lal.

"That's why we sold 13 out of the 15 businesses, the big one being tractors to TAFE. We removed the clutter and focussed on two promising businesses." Back then, conglomerates viewed businesses as family jewels. It was a cardinal sin to sell anything. But Lal sold almost everything. "Many did think Eicher was going out of business," recalls Lal. "Motorcycles was the joker in the pack," says Lal, referring to the portfolio of businesses he inherited. It was also his pet business. "I did the mathematics, projections and all we needed was to get the motorcycle business to the next level (in terms of sales)."

Decision made, Lal put his full weight behind Royal Enfield and the trucks business. A decade later, Eicher Motors earns over Rs 8,738 crore in revenues and makes a net profit of Rs 702 crore (FY14). Royal Enfield brings in about 80% of these profits.

This is a case of passion leading to profits. "Siddhartha Lal is Royal Enfield's biggest asset," says RL Ravichandran, who was CEO of Royal Enfield for five years from 2005 and continued on the board of Eicher Motors till December 2014. "He is an authority on British bikes of the post-World War era as a historian, a follower and a hands-on rider," he adds.

Eicher Motors' stock prices have shot up from Rs 224 in 2006 to Rs 15,612 now.

"The stock price rise is fully justified by fundamentals. The company has no debt and it redeploys money into further expansion and product innovation," says Raamdeo Agrawal, joint managing director of Motilal Oswal Securities. Adds Ambrish Mishra, director (research), JM Financial Institutional Securities: "Performance has consistently surpassed analyst expectations over the past five years.

Royal Enfield has successfully capitalised on growing customer preference for leisure biking through product differentiation, strong brand positioning, capacity buildup and rapid network expansion."

The long climb up

In 2005, the company was selling only about 25,000 bikes every year. "I was clear that it would be an amazingly profitable business," recalls Lal. But the company needed manufacturing scale. Fixed cost had to be spread around 100,000 bikes. "This set the building blocks for the next decade," says Lal.

He focussed on Enfield first, leaving trucks for later. Lal engineered and improved Enfield bikes by riding hundreds of kilometres himself. He also initiated a motorcycling culture in the team. Ravichandran says Lal always leads from the front. "He is both passionate and practical and has a deep sense of understanding of what separates Royal Enfield from the other brands," he adds.

Under Lal, as quality improved, sales grew too. By 2010, the company was selling 50,000 bikes, but on three platforms. That was when Lal decided to build all Enfield bikes on a single platform to maximise economies of scale. The Enfield Classic, launched from this single platform, caught the fancy of customers. Sales shot up six times in half a decade from 50,000 units in CY10 to 300,000 in CY14. Now, the target is 4,50,000 units in CY15.

"By becoming smaller (selling businesses and one engine platform) we have become bigger," says Lal. Now, Lal is ready to shift gears and drive into international markets. The company exports a mere 6,000 bikes annually, but Lal believes Royal Enfield can be a sizeable player in international markets a decade from now. He is already doing some strategic hiring with this goal in mind.

Rod Copes, a former Harley Davidson manager has been hired as president of North America (based in US); Pierre Terblanche, head of the industrial design team was snagged from Ducati; James Young, head — engines has worked in Triumph, and was hired in UK. Simon Warburton, head — product planning and strategy (new projects) also comes from Triumph. Mark Wells, head — programme (new projects) and Ian Wride, worked on Enfield's Classic and Continental GT models while they were with the design firm 'Xenophya.' Both have now joined Royal Enfield at its UK tech centre. Lal also realises that good marketing is as important as fine engineering. Which is why he recently hired Rudratej Singh from consumer business giant Unilever. Singh joined as president in January 2015.

Lal draws inspiration from global brands. Two of the most studied examples are the Mini Cooper and Porsche, both of which are very focussed and conscious about not diluting core DNA.

When Lal was a student in the 1990s in the UK, small cars were poorly designed when compared to the mid-size and larger cars. Then came the Mini, which changed the paradigm and made small cars really fun to drive. "That's what I want from Royal Enfield — to make mid-weight motorcycles fun to drive, yet retain its DNA," he says. "Royal Enfield is not bought for pure acceleration nor for fuel efficiency, but it has a stature and legacy," says former CEO Ravichandran. "There are no bells and whistles associated with it, but there is purity and purpose built into it."

From bikes to trucks

Lal turned his attention to trucks in 2006 after turning around Royal Enfield. The group pushed hard for a breakthrough in the truck business. The ambition wasn't to be a good No. 3, but challenge No. 1. "We figured that we had the brand, but didn't have financial muscle, technology and the distribution. It was an uphill task." He struck an alliance with Volvo, which also brought in equity.

"As Eicher plus Volvo, we can do much more than what Eicher could do alone," he says. "I would rather have half of a much larger pie." Eicher and Volvo hold 54.4% and 45.6% respectively in the joint venture VE Commercial Vehicles (VECV). This alliance too has led to shareholder value creation.

"VECV too managed to create a world class portfolio in medium and heavy trucks through the pro-series range. This will contribute to the overall growth in the next few years," says Mishra of JM Financial Institutional Securities. Market experts also believe that Volvo will have to pay a substantial premium if it wants control of the business, resulting in windfall gains for shareholders of Eicher Motors. "This is reflected in the stock price of Eicher Motors," one analyst says.

Lal says share price is an animal he does not understand. "What could be a flavour of the day, may not be tomorrow. We need to do well and maintain fundamentals," he says. Shareholders won't complain. As long as Lal takes care of the bikes, share prices will take care of themselves.